Before we get to the U.S. markets, it's worth noting that Canada's TSX closed at recovery highs today, taking out the previous highs set in April. The TSX is heavily weighted in commodities and the three day run in oil pushed us over the top.
The major U.S. markets are still range bound despite some constructive sector rotation. One of the problems as I see it, is the Tepper gap from last Friday.As you can see from the 15 minutes charts of the QQQQ and SPY above and below, when prices tried to break above Friday's highs, they were firmly rejected. The markets sold off Monday afternoon with follow through into Tuesday morning. The Qs filled the entire Tepper gap in early trade, but the SPY/DIA only did a half gap fill. The last day and half have been spent chopping around intraday support. One way to get resolution is for the SPY and DIA to go back in fill those gaps more completely. Other than that, we would need some really favorable economic data to propel us out of this range.
I always monitor the SPY, DIA, and QQQQ intraday for tells. Today, the Qs were lagging most the session. So when the SPY and DIA tried to break session highs, they were rejected. After three attempts, we printed a lower high and down we went into the close as depicted below.
Gapper trade - CRUS - Price consolidates the bullish gap by flagging in the upper range. Place fibs. from low to high of opening range to set targets. On a measured move basis, price should run to 100%. CRUS stalled just shy of the target.
TSL was a HCPG pick. Price hit the number in the OR, printed an inside bar and broke out. I missed the break, so I scaled in on the retest and added when price took out the previous high.


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