Kamis, 12 Januari 2012

NR7 - Market Test Your Scan with OddsMaker

We've been in a mean reverting market for almost a year and long breakouts are few and far between. Long setups that worked well in 2009 and 2010 had little chance of success last year. If that sounds familiar, you need to refine your trade setups to the reality of the current market environment.

One of my favorite setups is the 15 minute NR7 which reflects price/volume contraction ahead of expansion. I like to trade NR7 with stocks showing intraday momentum. NR7 is a great trading strategy to deploy during earnings season. Earnings gaps offer good trading opportunities but we don't want to chase. Wait for NR7 and catch the next leg with low risk.

Using Trade-Ideas Pro Scanner 3.1 in conjunction with OddsMaker, I am able to market test under current conditions and refine my NR7 scan to generate a winning strategy.

As depicted below, my scan generates a 27.7% win ratio. That may not sound like a lot, but since I use a tight stop, losses are small and winners generate good income over a short period of time. The OddsMaker quickly market tests my NR7 scan and provides summary and detailed results of the strategy over the selected number of days of back testing. In this sample, I used 500 share size for all trades and after 15 days it generated $4,000.00. Even if we reduce the maximum number of trades possible on any given day, the results are still impressive, given that my testing assumes that all trades are closed after a $1.00 profit is attained.



My NR7 scan starts with a preview of stocks gapping up in pre-market and then alerts me of NR7 stocks that meet the criteria in real time as depicted below. If you want the exact configuration of this scan click here.

A couple of sample NR7 trades are CROX on Jan. 11 and SINA on Jan. 12.




Identify a trading strategy that works well under current market conditions and then let OddsMaker back test and crunch the numbers. All you have to do is refine the scan and trading rules to enhance the results and make the strategy manageable.

For more info check out the Trade-Ideas blog.

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