Selasa, 07 April 2009

Best Setup of the Week (Perhaps) - WYNN

WYNN had a strong 3-4 day upside move on the daily. Yesterday was a gap up that formed a shooting star on big volume. A red candle today could confirm the shooting star and potentially form an evening star on a weak close. What happened? A gap down open that had the potential to leave a 1-day island reversal. Here is the daily chart.


How to trade the gap down? Draw Fib line across the opening range (OR) and read price action in the congestion zone (38-62% Fib levels). Bars 3 and 4 (15min) were narrow range with bar 4 closing weak and just below the congestion zone. The entry was a breakout of bar 4. The 62% extension of the OR is a good profit target (normally). Since the 62% target was achieved so quickly, perhaps I should have targeted 3 WR 15min bars for my first exit. WYNN setup a second entry 'beyond the extension' for a continuation move. In fact, it closed near the low of the day.


Had I set my Fib lines from the PDH to the ORL (classical method), here is where a 62% extension target would have triggered.

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