Selasa, 28 April 2009
Beware the Chop - Vacationing Traders
I just realized why there is so much chop in market of late. Many/most of the traders at trading blogs I follow are on vacation (including Jamie and Trader-X). Without those market movers, we are left with chop as shown on the SPY chart below. There is nothing remotely resembling a trend day over the last 5 days. The good news is that consolidation is either accumulation or distribution and will eventually lead to a nice expansion move (up/down?).
This morning VRTX hit my scanner based on %change from open and big volume. The daily had broken out above a trendline and the 15min setup a low-risk entry at the 30min ORH. It easily reached the 62% extension of the OR and went beyond. Even when the overall market is in chop mode, a strong setup in an individual stock can lead to a trend day (i.e., opens near the low/high and closes near the high/low).
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