Technical Picture - H&S Breakout

Markets traded lower overnight following a disappointing FOMC statement yesterday. We gapped wide and grinded lower for much of the session. From the daily chart of the SPY above we see that our H&S pattern has finally broken out successfully with volume. We are oversold and I am expecting a dead cat bounce soon.

Big picture, if we fail to hold the 61.8% Fib retracement of the 2010 low to the 2011 breakdown low as depicted on the SPX chart below, a full retracement is likely.


Update on the copper futures chart I posted over the weekend. H&S top within a big double top. The H&S measured move is close to target. Here again, I would expect dead cat bounce soon.