Tampilkan postingan dengan label Dead_Cat_Bounce. Tampilkan semua postingan
Tampilkan postingan dengan label Dead_Cat_Bounce. Tampilkan semua postingan

Kamis, 22 September 2011

Technical Picture - H&S Breakout

Markets traded lower overnight following a disappointing FOMC statement yesterday. We gapped wide and grinded lower for much of the session. From the daily chart of the SPY above we see that our H&S pattern has finally broken out successfully with volume. We are oversold and I am expecting a dead cat bounce soon.

Big picture, if we fail to hold the 61.8% Fib retracement of the 2010 low to the 2011 breakdown low as depicted on the SPX chart below, a full retracement is likely.


Update on the copper futures chart I posted over the weekend. H&S top within a big double top. The H&S measured move is close to target. Here again, I would expect dead cat bounce soon.

Kamis, 24 Maret 2011

Technical Picture - Tech Leadership

The markets gapped up on the open, the SPY probed its 50 day SMA and faded. Once the gapped was filled and prices stabilized, the bulls regained strength and pushed prices back up. Leadership was provided by tech including casinos, disk drive, internet, software (RHT earnings) and semis, in other words, a broad based tech rally.


As depicted on the SPY charts above and below, the market is extended in the wake of the rally from last week's lows. We have wedged our way back up to the short-term downsloping trendline and a pause here would be good. Rally has been on lower volume

Economic data - GDP in pre-market and Michigan sentiment at 9:55.

Copper has retested broken trendline and we will soon see if this is a dead cat bounce or not. HG_F look like they are forming a topping pattern, basing just above 430.

GDX profit taking took hold this afternoon after the big move from the lower edge of this symmetrical triangle. No surprise given the overbought bias.

Biotechs setting up a solid base here. This defensive sector looks poised for a BO soon.

Biotech sector names - I like CELG - solid base forming after testing long-term support.

CEPH (not depicted) just won its FENTORA patent suit against WPI.

AMRN if it regains $8.00.


GES Bear flag on daily. BO point is $37.50 as long as it doesn't regain its 5 period EMA (orange line on 15 min. chart below.)


Day Trades

FOSL - was hoping this would wait and set properly, but it based at $85.00 and eventually broke for a quick scalp.

JDSU gapped up, consolidated and broke above 5 day EMA.

RIMM was a good day trade into earnings, but after hours, it fell out of favor on weak guidance.
Key supports in play are mapped out on daily chart above.



Rabu, 24 Juni 2009

Today's Trades - NTES, FLS, ABX

NTES, SNDA, SOHU all opened strong. NTES was the obvious entry because of the IB, but SNDA was the big winner.

FLS was a trade idea from Briefing.com Swing Trader, Scott Smith. C&H entry on 1 minute timeframe. It ran into resistance today, but the chart is very orderly so I'm keeping it on the WL.


ABX - hammer reversal at support from PDH.

RIMM was not a trade for me today, but I'm posting the chart as a possible Dead Cat Bounce - shorting opp. I'd like to see it retrace a bit more and fail on the third test of the trendline.

Also, watching CELG (box play -$46-48) and maybe AMGN $51.50 after getting stopped out on the 2nd half of last week's swing.